A fairly good night last night picking both Dallas and Minnesota to win by one in regulation and both events occurring bang on. The other picks did not fair so well, however the Montreal game was a value play and the under did indeed cash with a low number of shots on goal. I recommended the wrong basketball pick as Kansas State was not able to cover the +9 spread but both NC State and Notre Dame covered easily but we will try and correct that with another pick tonight.
Here are the picks.
New Jersey 1.77 vs Detroit
Brodeur may be playing his last game as a Devil, he may not be, who really knows but either way I think just as he did last game he will play a shutdown game against a Detroit squad missing out on Zetterberg and Datsyuk. Given the home ice advantage and New Jersey being 9-3-1 in the last 13 games at home vs Detroit, I am comfortable laying the money to take a home win. Pick New Jersey at 1.77 odds.
Ottawa 1.83 vs Edmonton
Look for the birth of Anderson's child to motivate him to play at the top of his game and handle the Oilers with relative ease. Ottawa will outshoot Edmonton by a fair margin and that gives Ottawa a big advantage to come away with a win. Scrivens has played well but has not been winning as has been the case with the Oilers for years and I am looking for it to be one more loss to the record.
Winnipeg 1.80 in regulation vs NY Islanders
Without Tavares, trades looming and the Islanders bound to fall I am fading them until I see a reason to do otherwise. The goaltending matchup is a huge advantage to Winnipeg especially on home ice being one of the toughest rinks to play in. Plus Winnipeg is on a tear and continues to prove they are playing like the real deal. Lets go with Winnipeg to win in regulation.
Those are the picks everybody! I will be back later with an NCAA BB pick as well as perhaps another NHL pick or two as I like a lot of the matchups tonight.
Tuesday, March 4, 2014
Monday, March 3, 2014
Any basketball fans?
NCAA Basketball Pick: Kansas State +9 at Oklahoma State
I have no doubt Oklahoma State can secure a home victory but to say they will do it by 9 is just a bit unrealistic to me considering it has happened just once in the last ten games and with the importance of every game and wanting to head into conference tournament play on winning notes I expect this one to be a closely contested match, at least within the realm of 9 points. Take the points on Kansas State at 1.91.
That will be all the picks for the day, please comment and check back tomorrow for more picks and of course relax and enjoy the games on the table tonight.
NCAA Basketball Pick: Kansas State +9 at Oklahoma State
I have no doubt Oklahoma State can secure a home victory but to say they will do it by 9 is just a bit unrealistic to me considering it has happened just once in the last ten games and with the importance of every game and wanting to head into conference tournament play on winning notes I expect this one to be a closely contested match, at least within the realm of 9 points. Take the points on Kansas State at 1.91.
That will be all the picks for the day, please comment and check back tomorrow for more picks and of course relax and enjoy the games on the table tonight.
Montreal 2.50 vs Los Angeles and Under 5 at 1.87
As the lines have dropped on both the other picks I am going to offer another pick. This is more of a value pick but I am taking Montreal at a 2.50 money line. They have absolutely dominated Los Angeles in past history besides the last game being embarrassed 6-0 on home ice. I look for them to have revenge in mind and pay LA back the favor as they have won the previous seven meetings between the teams. Also I am taking the chance that Price may play having travelled with the team and no starting goaltender being announced as of yet. That also makes me look towards the under 5.0 at 1.87 with two olympic starting goalies going head to head. Take Montreal for the pick at a good value even on the road in California.
**Update**
It looks like Budaj will indeed get the start again so I am going to back off the over/under bet but still support Montreal to win. They play well on the road and as a dog and although I believe LA is getting back to its ways I look for a small set back with a cohesive Montreal team. I believe this is also a game where the public heavily favors LA which is giving us value in the line and smart bettors are taking the plus money rather than buying the LA ML.
As the lines have dropped on both the other picks I am going to offer another pick. This is more of a value pick but I am taking Montreal at a 2.50 money line. They have absolutely dominated Los Angeles in past history besides the last game being embarrassed 6-0 on home ice. I look for them to have revenge in mind and pay LA back the favor as they have won the previous seven meetings between the teams. Also I am taking the chance that Price may play having travelled with the team and no starting goaltender being announced as of yet. That also makes me look towards the under 5.0 at 1.87 with two olympic starting goalies going head to head. Take Montreal for the pick at a good value even on the road in California.
**Update**
It looks like Budaj will indeed get the start again so I am going to back off the over/under bet but still support Montreal to win. They play well on the road and as a dog and although I believe LA is getting back to its ways I look for a small set back with a cohesive Montreal team. I believe this is also a game where the public heavily favors LA which is giving us value in the line and smart bettors are taking the plus money rather than buying the LA ML.
I apologize, I promised picks this morning and I failed to deliver. I did have a couple picks I made myself which ended in a small loss on the night. I had taken St. Louis ML at 1.80 and the under at 1.83 and St. Louis made a desperate third period effort to win the game 4-2 scoring in the last two minutes of the game sending this one over. Although I would of preferred that win of $300.00 I did profit on my smaller wager of St Louis -1.5 which luckily came back to win to help cover the damage of the loss.
Anyways lets get into some picks for today.
Dallas 1.71 in Regulation vs Buffalo
Alright in general I am not a huge fan of regulation bets, I believe so many games are much closer than a spread indicates and a hot goalie can make any game close and many needing extra time or even a shootout to decide a winner. Now you may ask why I bet -1.5 if I don't bet regulation as essentially it is the same thing just by two goals. The reason being is I am a complete believer in the empty netter goals and in games I usually believe end in regulation I like the odds of them already being up by a couple or having the wide opportunity of an empty net to give us a two goal profit. As for this Dallas game, I believe Dallas is heating up and lost to Tampa Bay because of a hot goalie in Bishop stopping 40 of 42 shots, Dallas giving up half of that in shots but ultimately losing. Buffalo is in a scramble, they have won every game since the olympic break, traded away star Ryan Miller and one of Buffalos better players in Ott, are looking at trades for Halak and Stewart who have yet to even wear the jersey and it appears Halak never will with Enroth getting the start. He has played well with all this but his team is incredibly weak right now and if Miller struggled Enroth is bound to get back to his losing ways as Buffalo loses its edge on the road and a much stronger and more skilled team takes care of the win on home ice easily. With the -1.5 line being only 2.30, I would rather buy the goal and bet them to just win in case Enroth keeps up his strong play and keep Buffalo close but ultimately still losing in regulation. It is almost like every player in Buffalo is putting on a top performance to try and get interest for a trade out of the city and the current team but I there is no way I see that continuing. If Dallas stands a chance in the Western Conference this game should be a routine victory for Dallas.
Minnesota 1.91 in Regulation vs Calgary
Again... I really don't like the odds of 2.50 on the -1.5 line, I mainly look for a line closer to or above 3.00 for it to be profitable. Much like the other pick Calgary is also at the very bottom of the standings but have also been playing much better of late. Minnesota has also been playing strong and at home I don't doubt they should take care of Calgary in regulation. The ML just has no value for me in this game as I do feel Minnesota should win easily but with the play of Calgary I will once again buy the goal just in case it is closer than I think. As Minnesota is 21-8 as a favourite meaning they win most of the games they are expected to win I feel confident that they can do it as a 21-7-2 home team against a Calgary team most would expect Minnesota to outplay even if it is a low scoring affair. I do however prefer the over 5 goals in this game compared to any of the other games on the night. I think it provides the most value as the last 4 games have reached that or more and as Minnesota is still hunting down a goalie and Calgary always seems to find a way to score a couple I would take my chance with the over, its not the strongest bet and therefore I am not including it as a pick but I do think it has value with it being at 5 and paying out 1.87. Look at the Toronto vs Columbus game which pays out only 1.80 for over 5.5, yes it could happen, but I am not going to risk my money that it doesn't end up 2-2 in the third for 1.80.
Those will be the picks of the day, if you have any comments or are looking for advice on a certain game feel free to comment and discuss.
Anyways lets get into some picks for today.
Dallas 1.71 in Regulation vs Buffalo
Alright in general I am not a huge fan of regulation bets, I believe so many games are much closer than a spread indicates and a hot goalie can make any game close and many needing extra time or even a shootout to decide a winner. Now you may ask why I bet -1.5 if I don't bet regulation as essentially it is the same thing just by two goals. The reason being is I am a complete believer in the empty netter goals and in games I usually believe end in regulation I like the odds of them already being up by a couple or having the wide opportunity of an empty net to give us a two goal profit. As for this Dallas game, I believe Dallas is heating up and lost to Tampa Bay because of a hot goalie in Bishop stopping 40 of 42 shots, Dallas giving up half of that in shots but ultimately losing. Buffalo is in a scramble, they have won every game since the olympic break, traded away star Ryan Miller and one of Buffalos better players in Ott, are looking at trades for Halak and Stewart who have yet to even wear the jersey and it appears Halak never will with Enroth getting the start. He has played well with all this but his team is incredibly weak right now and if Miller struggled Enroth is bound to get back to his losing ways as Buffalo loses its edge on the road and a much stronger and more skilled team takes care of the win on home ice easily. With the -1.5 line being only 2.30, I would rather buy the goal and bet them to just win in case Enroth keeps up his strong play and keep Buffalo close but ultimately still losing in regulation. It is almost like every player in Buffalo is putting on a top performance to try and get interest for a trade out of the city and the current team but I there is no way I see that continuing. If Dallas stands a chance in the Western Conference this game should be a routine victory for Dallas.
Minnesota 1.91 in Regulation vs Calgary
Again... I really don't like the odds of 2.50 on the -1.5 line, I mainly look for a line closer to or above 3.00 for it to be profitable. Much like the other pick Calgary is also at the very bottom of the standings but have also been playing much better of late. Minnesota has also been playing strong and at home I don't doubt they should take care of Calgary in regulation. The ML just has no value for me in this game as I do feel Minnesota should win easily but with the play of Calgary I will once again buy the goal just in case it is closer than I think. As Minnesota is 21-8 as a favourite meaning they win most of the games they are expected to win I feel confident that they can do it as a 21-7-2 home team against a Calgary team most would expect Minnesota to outplay even if it is a low scoring affair. I do however prefer the over 5 goals in this game compared to any of the other games on the night. I think it provides the most value as the last 4 games have reached that or more and as Minnesota is still hunting down a goalie and Calgary always seems to find a way to score a couple I would take my chance with the over, its not the strongest bet and therefore I am not including it as a pick but I do think it has value with it being at 5 and paying out 1.87. Look at the Toronto vs Columbus game which pays out only 1.80 for over 5.5, yes it could happen, but I am not going to risk my money that it doesn't end up 2-2 in the third for 1.80.
Those will be the picks of the day, if you have any comments or are looking for advice on a certain game feel free to comment and discuss.
Saturday, March 1, 2014
A long day it was, certainly not a free weekend as tomorrow is also full of college basketball games. As for the last pick we really just got unlucky as Chicago scored a couple goals in the last half of the third the last coming with just a few minutes left off of a Pittsburgh defender sending the score to a 5-1 total leaving us with a loss on our under 5.5 pick. Overall however we came out ahead 2-1 today with a profitable LA pick. As for myself I also found myself on the winning side today betting on not just the games given but numerous others throughout the day leaving me with an end of the day total of 1516.62 with an in-game money line bet on Edmonton at 2.73. We will see if that one profits to add to the days success.
I will be back with a post and some picks in the morning as college basketball play finishes up. Come back and visit for the free picks remember I am 4-1 overall so far in my free picks.
I will be back with a post and some picks in the morning as college basketball play finishes up. Come back and visit for the free picks remember I am 4-1 overall so far in my free picks.
We nailed it again with LA at -1.5 vs Carolina, an empty netter gets us the cover. That makes my picks 4-0 since I began yesterday!
Now the last pick of the night,
The Winter Classic in Chicago
Pick: Under 5.5, the weather appears to have a light snowfall and chill conditions and I think this helps us with an under play. Chicago was a bit flat last game until the last minute and I expect a hard fought outdoor battle with maybe less than ideal ice conditions giving the advantage to the defensive ends.
Now the last pick of the night,
The Winter Classic in Chicago
Pick: Under 5.5, the weather appears to have a light snowfall and chill conditions and I think this helps us with an under play. Chicago was a bit flat last game until the last minute and I expect a hard fought outdoor battle with maybe less than ideal ice conditions giving the advantage to the defensive ends.
My prospective strategy actually went 0-7 last night, so much for a strategy, anyways I am going to continue to test to see if overtime it will lead me to some better results. As for last night, I won a ticket which took Colorado -1.5, Anaheim, Anaheim vs St. Louis Under 5.5 and Minnesota vs Vancouver Under 5. This put out a fair win of 789.06, this leaves me with a grand total after two days of work of 1289.06.
***Update***
Another win on New Jersey just as I expected getting 1.77 odds and a solid profit. The next pick will be Los Angeles, I am choosing to go with the -1.5 line at 2.6, I believe LA is coming to form and they will begin dominating at home again, Dustin Brown is chipping in and the rest of the lineup, especially Kopitar and Doughty are playing above and beyond. Against a unpredictable Carolina team with backup quality goaltender against predictably Jonathon Quick, Although they have not announced it. I will take the odds of LA burying Carolina by a couple.
Today Picks:
I will update with further picks throughout the day.
New Jersey 1.77 vs New York Islanders
I knew I should of taken it last night at 1.91 however I still see them as a clear favourite with Brodeur possibly playing his last game in a Devils uniform you know he will come up at his best. Add in that New York lost superstar John Tavares during the Olympics and you have a bet.
***Update***
Another win on New Jersey just as I expected getting 1.77 odds and a solid profit. The next pick will be Los Angeles, I am choosing to go with the -1.5 line at 2.6, I believe LA is coming to form and they will begin dominating at home again, Dustin Brown is chipping in and the rest of the lineup, especially Kopitar and Doughty are playing above and beyond. Against a unpredictable Carolina team with backup quality goaltender against predictably Jonathon Quick, Although they have not announced it. I will take the odds of LA burying Carolina by a couple.
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